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Public-Affairs survey: USL, 57.5 percent of voting intentions, ARD, 18.6 percent, PP-DD, 12.9 percent

The ruling alliance of the Social Liberal Union (USL) is credited with 57.5 percent of the voting intentions for the general election of December 9, the Right Romania Alliance (ARD), 18.6 percent, the People's Party-Dan Diaconescu (PP-DD), 12.9 percent, reveals a Public-Affairs survey conducted over December 3-5 and sent on Thursday.

According to this sociological research, the Hungarian Democratic Union of Romania has a 5 percent voting intention, the Hungarian Civic Party, 1.2 percent, minorities and others, 4.8 percent.

When asked 'Who do you think will win the parliamentary election and form the Government?' 48.7 percent of respondents said the Social Liberal Union would, 41.4 percent answered 'I do not know,' 6.4 percent answered that the Right Romania Alliance would and 3.5 percent, another party.

Fifty-nine percent of the interviewed people said that this election campaign was not useful for making the voting decision whereas 41 percent thought it was useful.

According to the above-mentioned poll, 21.6 percent of the interviewed people said they were not at all interested in the election campaign that came to an end this week and 45 percent, very little interested, whereas 29.6 percent said they were enough interested and 3.8 percent, very interested.

When asked how important the recent public appearances of President Traian Basescu were, 47.2 percent of respondents said that they were not at all important, 36.2 percent, little important, whereas 12.7 percent answered they were important enough and 3.9 percent, very important.

According to the sociological research mentioned before, the turnout in the December 9 election (estimated from the electoral rolls) is the following: 40.4 percent will surely vote, 8.6 percent are uncertain whether they will vote or not, 33 percent, are sure not to vote, 18 percent are not in Romania, dead or errors in the electoral registers.

The survey was conducted over December 3-5 on a sample of 1,234 subjects aged 18 and over, on the basis of the provisional results of the 2011 population and housing census as well as of the data supplied by the National Institute of Statistics referring to the population. The interviews were given on the phone by computer-assisted telephone interviewing, the error margin for the entire sample being plus/minus 2.8 percent. The survey was conducted with a view to informing the public opinion of the current problems from internal resources of Public-Affairs.

More than half of Romanian population content with Government. but do not know if Ponta remains PM



A survey conducted by Public Affairs between December 3 and 5 reveals that 42 percent of the Romanians are fairly satisfied with the activity performed by the current government of the Social Liberal Union (alliance USL), 12 percent were highly satisfied, whereas 32 percent were rather dissatisfied and 14 percent were very dissatisfied.

32.8 percent of the polled agree with the statement 'Victor Ponta will be Romania's PM after the elections,' whereas 52.8 percent cannot opinionate on this, and 14.4 percent believe he will not remain at the helm of the government after December 9, reads the quoted document.

16.7 percent of the interviewed agreed with the statement 'Traian Basescu will not appoint Victor Ponta with the government creation,' 15.5 percent disagreed and 67.8 percent do not know or could not say.

However, more than half of those interviewed believe the Right Romania Alliance (ARD) stands any real chance to defeat USL, whereas 13.3 percent believe the contrary and 35.7 percent do not know.

More than half (51.9 percent) also believe Dan Diaconescu does not have genuine feelings of changing Romania for the good, whereas 13.4 percent believe he does, and 34.7 say they do not know.

48.9 percent of the polled agree with the statement 'Ponta Government is a little better than Ungureanu Government,' whereas 22.8 percent disagree with the statement and 28.3 percent do not know.

Only a percentage point of the respondents were absolutely positive that Romania is on a right path and 30 percent are fairly positive about it. On the other hand, 11 percent were absolutely positive that things are going wrong in Romania, 24 percent are fairly positive and 34 percent claimed they do not know.

The survey was conducted between December 3 and 5 on a sample of 1,234 people over 18 years of age, and the sample was probabilistic, multi-staged, stratified, based on the provisional results of the population and households census of 2011, as well as of the INS data on the population. The interviews were conducted on the phone, through computer-assisted selection, at a correction rate of 95 percent and an error margin of 2.8 percent. The survey was conducted to reveal to the public the current issues from domestic resources of Public Affairs.

 

 

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